HomeSegunda DivisiónBurgos vs AD Ceuta FC

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC

Segunda DivisiónFriday, 11 September 202618:30 UTC, Burgos
BurgosBurgos(H)
vs
(A)AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC

Match Prediction

We say:

BUR 51 AD

Betting Tip

Combo Winner : Burgos and +1.5 goals

Win Probability

58%
28%
14%
BUR 58%Draw 28%14% AD

Match Preview

Burgos are finding things difficult with 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings. 5 goals scored and 8 conceded in their last 5 appearances point to a side that can generally find a way to score. Goalless afternoons have been a recurring issue for Burgos, who have failed to score 3 times recently — breaking that habit will be crucial.

Turning to AD Ceuta FC, their recent form paints a contrasting picture. AD Ceuta FC will approach this game with confidence levels at a low ebb, after taking 3 points from a possible 15 in their last 5. Their attacking output stands at 3 goals in 5 matches. Notably, AD Ceuta FC are on a 4-match losing streak, which they will be desperate to end heading into this contest. Worryingly for AD Ceuta FC, they have drawn blanks in 3 of their last 5 matches, a return that will need to improve against organised opposition. In recent encounters between these sides, the results have been fairly evenly split, with 1 home wins, 0 away wins and 1 draws. With 3 goals in 2 games (1.5 per match), the fixture has tended to be more measured.

AD Ceuta FC have been the more prolific side in front of goal recently, but AD Ceuta FC boast the stronger defensive record. The contrasting styles could make for a fascinating tactical battle. Form and personnel are remarkably balanced heading into this one, and the margin between the sides could be razor-thin. Fresh legs from the bench could prove pivotal in the closing stages.

This is a closely contested fixture, with the data suggesting a draw (28%) is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 5-1 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence here is modest at 45%, reflecting just how hard this fixture is to call. Whatever unfolds, this Segunda División contest is not to be missed.


Team News

Projected Lineups

BurgosBurgosFormation: 4-4-2Predicted
13
A. CanteroGK
3
I. VilarrasaDEF
8
G. SierraDEF
6
S. GonzalezDEF
23
A. Dadie IzagirreDEF
19
J. LlabresMID
4
P. GaldamesMID
20
J. GrageraMID
14
D. Gonzalez BallesterosMID
9
A. ForesFWD
16
C. SanchezFWD

Predicted lineup — based on recent form.

Substitutes
35 D. Gonzalez(GK)2 Álex(DEF)15 Oier Luengo(DEF)18 S. del Cerro(MID)10 K. Appin(MID)21 Fermin Garcia(FWD)7 Jon Karrikaburu(FWD)
AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FCFormation: 4-4-2Predicted
9
J. EscobarFWD
22
K. KoneFWD
14
Y. BodigerMID
7
A. CamachoMID
11
C. TeguiaMID
8
K. ZalazarMID
16
C. Redruello NimoDEF
5
A. LapenaDEF
6
C. HernandezDEF
23
AnuarDEF
13
G. VallejoGK

Predicted lineup — based on recent form.

Substitutes
1 P. Lopez(GK)18 A. Petxa(DEF)4 Albert Caparrós(DEF)20 A. Melendez(MID)15 J. Gonzalez(MID)35 F. G. Fernandez(FWD)21 K. Mamah(FWD)

Subject to last-minute changes


Head-to-Head

0 Burgos wins1 draws1 AD Ceuta FC wins
DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026-04-01Segunda DivisiónBurgos1 - 1AD Ceuta FC
2025-11-29Segunda DivisiónAD Ceuta FC1 - 0Burgos

Burgos — Last 5 Matches

LWLDD
Athletic Club0-3
Friendlies Clubs
Cordoba3-2
Segunda División
Sporting Gijon0-1
Segunda División
Real Sociedad II2-2
Segunda División
Oviedo0-0
Segunda División

AD Ceuta FC — Last 5 Matches

WLLLL
Malaga2-1
Friendlies Clubs
FC Andorra1-5
Segunda División
Las Palmas0-2
Segunda División
Mallorca0-3
Segunda División
Celta de Vigo II0-2
Segunda División

Match Odds

BookmakerHomeDrawAway
10Bet1.683.754.85
William Hill1.653.604.75
Bet3651.673.705.00
Marathonbet1.653.884.80
Unibet1.703.454.50
Betfair1.623.754.60
BetVictor1.623.704.80
Pinnacle1.653.895.21
SBO1.613.404.26
1xBet1.703.994.94
Betano1.703.755.10

18+ | Odds subject to change | Please gamble responsibly | #ad