Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC
Match Prediction
We say:
BUR 5 – 1 AD
Betting Tip
Combo Winner : Burgos and +1.5 goals
Win Probability
Match Preview
Burgos are finding things difficult with 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings. 5 goals scored and 8 conceded in their last 5 appearances point to a side that can generally find a way to score. Goalless afternoons have been a recurring issue for Burgos, who have failed to score 3 times recently — breaking that habit will be crucial.
Turning to AD Ceuta FC, their recent form paints a contrasting picture. AD Ceuta FC will approach this game with confidence levels at a low ebb, after taking 3 points from a possible 15 in their last 5. Their attacking output stands at 3 goals in 5 matches. Notably, AD Ceuta FC are on a 4-match losing streak, which they will be desperate to end heading into this contest. Worryingly for AD Ceuta FC, they have drawn blanks in 3 of their last 5 matches, a return that will need to improve against organised opposition. In recent encounters between these sides, the results have been fairly evenly split, with 1 home wins, 0 away wins and 1 draws. With 3 goals in 2 games (1.5 per match), the fixture has tended to be more measured.
AD Ceuta FC have been the more prolific side in front of goal recently, but AD Ceuta FC boast the stronger defensive record. The contrasting styles could make for a fascinating tactical battle. Form and personnel are remarkably balanced heading into this one, and the margin between the sides could be razor-thin. Fresh legs from the bench could prove pivotal in the closing stages.
This is a closely contested fixture, with the data suggesting a draw (28%) is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 5-1 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence here is modest at 45%, reflecting just how hard this fixture is to call. Whatever unfolds, this Segunda División contest is not to be missed.
Team News
Projected Lineups
Predicted lineup — based on recent form.
Predicted lineup — based on recent form.
Subject to last-minute changes
Head-to-Head
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Segunda División | Burgos | 1 - 1 | AD Ceuta FC |
| 2025-11-29 | Segunda División | AD Ceuta FC | 1 - 0 | Burgos |
Burgos — Last 5 Matches
AD Ceuta FC — Last 5 Matches
Match Odds
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.85 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.88 | 4.80 |
| Unibet | 1.70★ | 3.45 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.89 | 5.21★ |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.40 | 4.26 |
| 1xBet | 1.70★ | 3.99★ | 4.94 |
| Betano | 1.70★ | 3.75 | 5.10 |
18+ | Odds subject to change | Please gamble responsibly | #ad