Sudtirol vs Modena

Sudtirol come into this on the back of a mixed run of form, having taken 11 points from their last 5 matches. With 5 goals from 5 matches, their attack has been somewhat inconsistent, while defensively they have conceded relatively few (0.2 per game). The defensive numbers for Sudtirol read 0.2 goals conceded per game — an encouraging level of stability.

Turning to Modena, their recent form paints a contrasting picture. The numbers tell a clear story for Modena: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 outings, worth 7 points — a solid return. They have scored at a steady rate averaging 1.4 goals per game, while conceding 1.0. Worryingly for Modena, they have drawn blanks in 2 of their last 5 matches, a return that will need to improve against organised opposition. History between these two shows 2 home wins, 0 away wins and 4 draws from 6 meetings. The fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting, with scoring at a genuine premium.

The key battle could be between Sudtirol's defensive resilience and Modena's defensive resilience. Whichever side imposes their style early could gain a crucial advantage. As the stronger side on paper, Sudtirol will want to dictate proceedings. However, Modena will be well aware of the threat they pose and may look to frustrate and hit on the break.

This is a closely contested fixture, with the data suggesting a draw (34%) is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 1-2 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence here is modest at 45%, reflecting just how hard this fixture is to call. Whatever unfolds, this Serie B contest is not to be missed.