Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05
Match Prediction
We say:
HAM 1 – 0 FSV
Betting Tip
Hamburger SV are favoured based on recent form.
Win Probability
Match Preview
Hamburger SV head into this fixture in decent shape after collecting 7 points from a possible 15 in their last 5. With 8 goals in their last 5, their attack has been a real threat, while defensively they have conceded relatively few (1.4 per game). Defensively, they have had mixed results, keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 5.
On the other side, FSV Mainz 05 have had a contrasting run of results. FSV Mainz 05 come into this on the back of a mixed run of form, having taken 0 points from their last 0 matches. History between these two shows 3 home wins, 0 away wins and 3 draws from 6 meetings. Goals have been at a reasonable level, with an average of 2.5 per game.
Hamburger SV have been the more prolific side in front of goal recently, but FSV Mainz 05 boast the stronger defensive record. The contrasting styles could make for a fascinating tactical battle. Hamburger SV will be expected to take the initiative, but FSV Mainz 05 have shown they can be dangerous on the counter. The dynamic between attack and defence will shape the narrative.
This is a closely contested fixture, with the model suggesting a draw is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 1-0 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 58%. Kick-off in the Bundesliga awaits.
Hamburger SV Key Points
- Home advantage at familiar venue
- Strong attacking transitions
- Set-piece efficiency
FSV Mainz 05 Key Points
- Compact defensive structure
- Counter-attacking speed
- Midfield press resistance
Team News
Projected Lineups
Predicted lineup — based on recent form, not yet confirmed.
Predicted lineup — based on recent form, not yet confirmed.
Subject to last-minute changes
Head-to-Head
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | 1 - 1 | Hamburger SV |
| 2025-10-05 | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | 4 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2018-03-03 | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | 0 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2017-10-14 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 - 2 | Hamburger SV |
| 2017-05-07 | Bundesliga | Hamburger SV | 0 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 2016-12-17 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 - 1 | Hamburger SV |
Hamburger SV — Last 5 Matches
FSV Mainz 05 — Last 5 Matches
Hamburger SV — Next 5 Matches
FSV Mainz 05 — Next 5 Matches
Match Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
18+ | Odds subject to change | Please gamble responsibly | #ad
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