Toulouse vs Lille
Match Prediction
We say:
TOU 1 – 3 LIL
Betting Tip
Winner : Lille
Win Probability
Match Preview
Toulouse head into this fixture desperate for a turnaround after collecting 5 points from a possible 15 in their last 5. Their attacking output stands at 6 goals in 5 matches.
On the other side, Lille have had a contrasting run of results. Lille come into this on the back of a mixed run of form, having taken 9 points from their last 5 matches. With 13 goals in their last 5, their attack has been a real threat, while defensively they have conceded more than they would like (1.6 per game). Looking at the head-to-head record, the last 6 meetings have produced 3 Toulouse wins, 2 Lille wins and 1 draws. These meetings have tended to produce plenty of goals, averaging 3.2 goals per match.
The statistics point towards an open game here. Both teams have been involved in matches with plenty of goalmouth action recently, and the tactical setup suggests a similar pattern could emerge. Lille will look to assert their authority early and put pressure on Toulouse's defence. If they can convert their dominance into goals, it could be a long afternoon for the visitors.
This is a closely contested fixture, with the model suggesting a draw is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 1-3 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 50%. Kick-off in the Ligue 1 awaits.
Toulouse Key Points
- Home advantage at familiar venue
- Strong attacking transitions
- Set-piece efficiency
Lille Key Points
- Compact defensive structure
- Counter-attacking speed
- Midfield press resistance
Team News
Toulouse
- A. Francis — Muscle Injury
- N. Sigur — Transfer negotiations
- A. Donnum — Personal Reasons
Lille
- H. Igamane — Knee Injury
- T. Nianzou — Injury
Head-to-Head
| Date | Competition | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 0 - 4 | Lille |
| 2025-09-14 | Ligue 1 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Toulouse |
| 2025-04-12 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 1 - 2 | Lille |
| 2024-10-05 | Ligue 1 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Toulouse |
| 2024-02-25 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 3 - 1 | Lille |
| 2023-11-12 | Ligue 1 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Toulouse |
Toulouse — Last 5 Matches
Lille — Last 5 Matches
Match Odds
| Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
18+ | Odds subject to change | Please gamble responsibly | #ad
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